Wild Card Weekend is upon us, ladies and gentleman. After a season full of twists and turns, we are left with 12 teams still trying to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February. But before we get there, those lower seeds need to get through the gauntlet that is the Wild Card round. If you know you’re going to miss some of the action, or you just need a quick preview, read on. Let’s take a look at what’s going down this weekend in the NFL.
Titans at Chiefs (Saturday 4:20 PM ET ESPN/ABC)
The Chiefs have a knack for getting hot at weird times. This season was no different. After starting the season on a thrilling 5-game winning streak, they found themselves back at .500 after Week 13. With a ton of pressure from fans and the media alike, Kansas City punched their ticket to the playoffs with a division-clinching victory against the Dolphins in Week 16. Now sporting a 4-game winning streak, the Chiefs look to roll with the momentum down the homestretch.
Alex Smith has had an unbelievable season this year. From being undrafted in Fantasy to the #2 QB in the league, Smith has quietly had a very good and, most importantly, consistent year for the Chiefs. With his leadership and stability, KC has handled adversity well, and they’re about to face a lot more this January. Luckily, playoff experience from last year will help the majority of the roster excel at home on Saturday.
However, not among those with experience is rookie running back Kareem Hunt. It’ll be important for him to approach the playoffs the same as any other game. He’s definitely not as daunting as he was early in the season, but he’s still a talented back with a lot to give. Other contributors will be speedy return man and wide receiver Tyreek Hill and big tight end Travis Kelce. When these three are playing in sync with Alex Smith, the Chiefs are one of the most dominant teams in the NFL.
As for the Titans, they do not boast the same type of postseason experience nor the big playmakers like Kansas City. They had an up and down year that had them in the hunt for the AFC South title against the Jaguars before dropping 3 straight late in the season. However, a win against the Jags in Week 17 locked in their spot as the 5 seed as they look to battle their way to their first postseason win since 2003.
It won’t be easy. Marcus Mariota didn’t have the year he’s capable of, and the Titans have struggled to gain momentum for the majority of the season. With the passing game in flux, it’s up to Derrick Henry to carry the load for the offense with DeMarco Murray already ruled out.
The problem is that there is so much youth and inexperience in Tennessee right now. This will be a great stepping stone for years to come, but it’s going to take all hands on deck plus a little luck for the Titans to come to Arrowhead Stadium and steal a victory. I’m sure head coach Mike Mularkey will pull out all the stops as he tries to do whatever it takes to win, but I don’t think it will be enough against a pretty sound Chiefs team.
Prediction: Chiefs win 31-20.
Falcons at Rams (Saturday 8:15 PM ET NBC)
The Falcons start their quest for revenge in Los Angeles after a pretty smooth Week 17 went their way. It was an up-and-down season that left Atlanta with a respectable 10-6 record, which seems worse than it appears in a stacked NFC. The Falcons definitely have one of the most potent offenses in the NFL, and with a subpar defense, reigning MVP Matt Ryan is going to need to be on top of his game to lead Atlanta back to the Super Bowl.
The issue is that Matt Ryan hasn’t played nearly as well as he did last year. He’s gotten significant help with the likes of Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, and Julio Jones. The triple threat has been a nightmare for opposing defenses, and it’s unlikely that Saturday night will be any different.
So, we’re likely going to see a shootout which probably means that whoever scores last is going to win. We’ll see a lot of big plays and long runs, and the punters may only kick once or twice a side. That said, the winner of this game comes down to defense. The Falcons are probably the worse of the two, but they are no less athletic, and they have proven that they know how to shut down a two-minute drill on more than one occasion. That skill is going to be crucial for Atlanta to try to survive and advance.
Like the Titans, the Rams are seriously lacking in playoff experience. It’s been 13 years since the Rams last made it to a playoff game, so this is a brand new experience for everyone in Los Angeles. Second year QB and first year starter Jared Goff has been awesome this year, but the playoffs are an entirely different animal. Luckily for him, he does have some veteran help in the backfield.
Todd Gurley is one of my favorite running backs in the league this year. He’s big, strong, agile, and he has that extra gear when he finds open field. By far my vote for MVP this year besides an injured Carson Wentz, Gurley keeps having big game after big game. Goff has the responsibility to keep the Falcons’ D guessing, and if he does, Gurley will have another 100+ yard effort with ease.
While the Rams have home field advantage in a 3-6 matchup, they are not the clear favorites. With youth and inexperience behind a first year head coach, L.A. is going to have to prove they belong. That comes with balanced play calling, rolling the dice when they need to, and stopping the Falcons’ relentless attack. It’s a tall order, but I think they’re up to the task.
Prediction: Rams win 35-34.
Bills at Jaguars (Sunday 1:05 PM ET CBS)
As I’m sure you’ve heard, the Bills snapped the longest active postseason drought of any major U.S. sport at 17 years. After remaining stagnant at 8-8 for too long, the Bills Mafia has a right to celebrate playing a 17th game, but you know they don’t want it to end there. Buffalo has been practicing hard all week as they try to upend the favored Jaguars on Sunday afternoon.
The key for Buffalo will be running back LeSean McCoy. As the #7 RB in fantasy, McCoy has carried his team this far, and the load isn’t going to fall off his shoulders anytime soon. With the QB situation still a little bit of a question mark, and the best pass defense in the league facing Tyrod Taylor, this game is all up to McCoy… and it’s nearly an impossible task to meet those kinds of expectations.
Luckily for the Bills, this will definitely be a defensive struggle.
As stout as the Jags secondary is, they are equally as weak on the offensive end. So, as long the Bills can keep their emotions in check, pick their battles, and take any points they can get, they definitely have a chance. Not to mention, the Patriots hate playing the Bills. That would be an underrated matchup in the Divisional Round.
The Jaguars are also in unfamiliar territory. Jacksonville hasn’t played into January since 2007, after clinching their first AFC South crown in franchise history. So with home field advantage, EverBank Field is expanding their capacity to help out the Jags on Sunday. While this has already been a historical season for the largely struggling franchise, they have a good chance to make it even better.
It’s already pretty well known that the Jags possess a suffocating defense that has limited opponents to an AFC-best 16.8 PPG and 268 YPG. The Bills offense already isn’t that threatening, so it could definitely be a long day for the Buffalo faithful. However, the Jaguars’ offense has it own problems.
Despite a bounty of playmakers, Blake Bortles has been atrocious this year. While his numbers have risen with his top receivers on the sidelines (who knows why), he has all the makings to be a bust in the postseason. Leonard Fournette has the talent to make up for Bortles’ shortcomings, but he is still a rookie and the game cannot hinge on his success. In a low scoring affair, it might just come down to which kicker you trust more.
Prediction: Jaguars win 17-13.
Panthers at Saints (Sunday 4:40 ET FOX)
The final game of the Wild Card Weekend pits the two NFC South foes that have been jockeying for position all season long. First we have the Panthers, who just couldn’t quite catch up to the blistering hot Saints. They dropped two games to New Orleans in the regular season, and lost home field advantage for their troubles. The good news is, it’s nearly impossible to beat the same team 3 times in a single season.
So how will Carolina pull off the upset? They need to do a few things. First, they have an athletic defense that can keep pace with anybody. The Saints offense has been awesome due to their balance of weapons and ability to make the big plays. So, the Panthers need to shut those down and frustrate the Saints as much as possible. It won’t be easy, and they won’t be 100% successful, but every little bit counts.
Part two is Cam Newton’s offense. Knowing full well the Saints are going to score, and potentially score often, the Panthers need to correct their mistakes from the first two games and go after this tough defense. They have some of the best rushers in the league and Newton’s quick slants can be deadly. Unfortunately, he’s known for letting his emotions get the best of him at times, so if he can stay calm and let his game flow, I think the Panthers have a great shot at upsetting the Saints.
New Orleans has had a storybook season. Besides the unlikely Super Bowl run in 2010, this is arguably the best Saints team in franchise history. Drew Brees is still putting up record yards to countless receivers, while the tandem of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram boast diverse skill sets to confuse defenses. It’s a staggering embarrassment of riches, and the Saints’ offense is showing no signs of slowing down.
The defense has been on fire too. After a terrible season last year that let the secondary get torched, a couple of defensive draft picks have completely swung the team around. Now it seems that New Orleans is the complete package as they roll everyone that hops in their path. Since their 0-2 start, they have yet to lose a home game, and they don’t plan on starting on Sunday.
There is far less pressure on the Saints to perform. They have momentum, the home crowd, and confidence. That’s why I’m worried. It is extremely difficult to beat a team 3 times in a season, and I always choose the team that’s lost twice in such battles. There is only so much room in that playbook for surprises, so if Carolina already knows what cost them in weeks prior, I can’t see them getting swept.
Prediction: Panthers win 27-24.